Wednesday Morning Forecast (11/06/2024) 15:00Z

Wednesday: Cloudy. High: 60°F 

Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy. Low: 44°F 

Thursday: Cloudy. High: 59°F 

Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy. Low: 42°F 

Friday: Partly Cloudy. High: 61°F 

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General Discussion: 

Calm winds along with stratocumulus clouds are expected to develop over our area cooler temperatures ahead. Temperatures are set to stay slightly above the average for this time of the year, (around 59°F high and 39°F low respectively,).  

• McCurdy, Latlip 

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Forecasters: Brucker, McCurdy, Latlip, Peine 

Date Issued: 11/06/2024 9:00 AM CST 

Technical Discussion: 

Key Messages: 

• Low level cloud cover is set to build over our region throughout Friday the vicinity by Tuesday night, giving way to clearer conditions 

• Northerly winds and sinking air set in stable conditions for the rest of the week. 

The GFS and NAM were used to create this forecast due to their agreement on most weather trends for the parameters given. Wednesday, a strong upper-level ridge situated off the east coast of Florida will keep the positively tilted trough centered over the northern plains to our west throughout the end of the week. Sinking air is expected as we will be under more influence from the ridge as the trough weakens and a cutoff low is formed. 

Surface temperatures expected to be consistently near seasonal (avg: 59 °F) throughout the rest of week with cloud cover expected to settle in due to us being on the backside of a surface low pressure system. The low is currently over the great lakes, causing cold air advection (CAA) from the surface up to 850mb and causing widespread stratocumulus across the region. This is because our temperature and dewpoint will be near saturation at the respective levels. 

Nighttime conditions will also be consistent this week, with less clouds expected than the daytime, and some fog in the river valleys as well. Although surface winds are expected to be calm, radiational cool will be limited due to some cloud cover. Low temperatures are expected to be slightly above seasonal (avg: 39 °F) 

• Brucker, McCurdy, Latlip, Peine