Tuesday: Rain High: 53°F   

Tuesday Night: Cloudy with chances of snow Low: 31°F   

Wednesday: AM snow showers. High: 34°F   

Wednesday Night: Clearing Low: 24°F   

Thursday: Clear and Windy. High: 48°F   

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General Discussion:   

Today Columbia will see rain (0.25-0.75 in) with possible rumbles of thunder included. Overnight tonight into Wednesday morning a dusting of snow only on grassy surfaces is expected. A windy Wednesday will be accompanied by clouds which will stay in the area until Wednesday night making way for a clear Thursday.

-Malone, Beach

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Forecasters: Malone, Beach

Date Issued: 03/04/2025 10:00 AM CST   

Technical Discussion: 

Key Messages:   

• Rain during the day Tuesday (0.25-0.75 in) with possible thunder
• Tuesday night and Wednesday morning will see a dusting of snow on grassy surfaces
• Wednesday winds around 25 mph with gusts up to 45-50 mph

An upper-level trough is moving through the lower Great Plains and Missouri bringing upper-level divergence with diffluence to the east of our area. As the low makes its way overhead an abundance of vorticity along with the upper-level divergence is encouraging for precipitation. A low-level jet on the leeward side of the low is transporting moisture from the Gulf of America into the Great Plains further fueling precipitation chances. Rain and possible thunder would be from the wrap around of our low with a 100 percent chance of rain ranging from 0.25-0.75 of an inch for today. The most severe the area will get will be rumbles of thunder. This is due to a severe lack of surface based CAPE and instability.

Near the surface, temperatures will be dropping to around 32 degrees Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. This is caused from cold air advection moving into our area that is trailing behind the low. The moisture will stick around allowing for a dusting of a snow but no effect to roadways is expected as ground temperatures will be too warm for accumulation. Strong winds (25 mph with gusts of 45 mph) associated with the cold air advection and a strong pressure gradient may cause visibility issues with blowing snow.

Following the precipitation events, Thursday is expected to be clear with increasing clouds in the afternoon. A ridge moving in and leeward cyclogenesis on the Rockies will form Thursday evening which future forecast shifts will further monitor.

-Malone, Beach