Tuesday Night: Cloudy. Low: 35°F  

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy. High: 54°F  

Wednesday Night: 70% Chance for Light Rain. Low: 34°F  

Thursday: Mostly Sunny. High: 57°F  

Thursday Night: Mostly Clear. Low: 34°F  

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General Discussion:  

Warm temperatures are expected this week due to a recent cold front that will bring an influx of clouds to the region.  On Wednesday night into Thursday, a small shower has a high chance (70%) of bringing less than a tenth of an inch of rainfall to the area.  After the shower, these clouds will clear Thursday evening into Friday.

– Grimm

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Forecasters: Grimm

Date Issued: 02/24/2026 5:00 PM CST

Technical Discussion:  

Key Messages:  

• Temperatures for the week will stay above the seasonal average during the day (49°F) and night (29°F), however northern winds will keep temperatures feeling cool.  
• A 70% chance of trace rainfall is expected early Thursday morning, with high end amounts reaching 1/10th of an inch.  

A weak warm front has passed through central Missouri this morning causing temperatures to rise into pleasant 60s for the day.  This warmer flow, alongside a plentiful spread of high level clouds will cause tonight’s temperatures to stay above freezing, hovering around the mid 30s, however 5-10mph winds will keep things feeling chillier.  These clouds stem from a heavily occluded Alberta clipper low off to the north that Missouri is in the warm sector of.  However, the cold front associated with this system has a surprisingly weak temperature gradient that will cause middling effects Wednesday night.  

On Wednesday, initial conditions will be similar to today, as temperatures will rise into the mid 50s with clouds.  Conditions will change slightly as the weak cold front from the north has a good chance (70%) to bring rain to the region closer to the morning.  While the area has seen a stream of upper level moisture evident from the near constant cloud layer over the Midwest, there is only a small amount of omega tied to the passage of this front.  While model guidance  agrees in high vorticity during this time, cross sections over Missouri show a large pocket of dry air that will prevent most moisture from reaching the surface.  By the time the front and associated moisture exits the mid-Missouri region on Thursday, there is only a 70% chance that even a trace amount of rain will accumulate.  In the most extreme scenarios, where saturation occurs more rapidly than expected in the mid-levels, there is a 20% chance that rain for the area will exceed 1/10th of an inch.  Temperatures from the cold front will slightly decrease but lows for the night will stay around the mid 30s.  

After the front passes on Thursday, a noticeable break in clouds is expected, increasing temperatures compared to previous days (57°F).  A high pressure system will hang over the Missouri-Iowa border causing conditions to be relatively calm going into Thursday night.  Despite the lack of clouds, temperatures during the night will also be in the mid 30s due to the High pressure systems southerly flow.  Future weather shifts should monitor the potential for a storm that could threaten a moderate amount of precipitation this weekend. 

-Grimm