Campus Weather Forecast 04/10/2026
Friday Morning Forecast (04/10/2026)
Friday: Isolated Showers 65°F
Friday Night: Overcast 55°F
Saturday: Overcast 74°F
Saturday Night: Cloudy 62°F
Sunday: Thunderstorms possible 78°F
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General Discussion: Cloudy and wet conditions will persist through the weekend until early next week.
-Malone
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Forecasters: Hughley, Malone
Date Issued: 04/10/2026 1400Z
Technical Discussion:
Key Messages:
- Overcast conditions linger in the region throughout the forecast period, with rain chances appearing over the weekend.
- High temperatures in the low to mid 70s this weekend, which is 5-10 degrees above average (Avg: 65°F) during this time of the year.
A cold front connected to a surface low in Michigan passed through Central Missouri late Thursday night and early Friday morning, bringing showers for most of the region. Some showers will try to stick around throughout Friday due to divergence at the 250mb level, but a zonal flow will try to keep conditions calm during the day today. Divergence weakens by Saturday 00z, and a ridge starts to build in the jet stream, strengthening by Saturday 18z. Warmer temperatures are expected from this ridge, and with winds coming out of the southwest on both Saturday and Sunday, strong moisture advection will be taking place as well. Throughout the forecast period, winds will peak around 50 to 60 knots in the jet stream, inhibiting chances of severe weather due to the weak flow aloft.
This zonal flow continues into the 500mb level, but weaker divergence levels are currently in the region than compared to the 250mb level. This signifies a weaker flow aloft which decreases strength as you head toward the surface. A vort max accompanied the cold front that passed through early Friday morning, but decreasing values throughout the day will keep rain chances low heading into the afternoon hours. They continue to stay relatively low on Saturday before increasing again by mid-Sunday morning. Nevertheless, a prevalent ridge is noticeable at this level as well, and this is from the help of another system that will be off the coast of California by Sat 21z. This deepening trough keeps the flow meridional and although it is a weak ridge, that flow helps it linger until Sunday when it switches more zonal, helping temperatures stay 5 to 10 degrees above average during the forecasting period (Avg: 65°F), but will also keep an unsettled pattern as well.
OMEGA values are currently high at the 700mb level, but will decrease dramatically throughout Friday, and will stay tame during the rest of the forecasting period. A high-pressure system located in the Southeastern United States will advect moisture into the region, which will keep the clouds around on Saturday. Relative humidity values will reach as high as 95% by Saturday 15z, but with the lack of OMEGA and upper-level vorticity, most of the region will stay dry, but the chance of an isolated shower is not out of the question. The highest chance of seeing showers on Saturday would be at 21z, when OMEGA values increase slightly during this time period.
Surface dew points mellow out in the mid 50s during Friday, but will return to the low 60s by Saturday 18z before exiting the region Sunday 03z. They return by Sunday 18z due to an incoming cold front that is expected during this time period. A strong LLJ enters Central Missouri by Sunday 00z, with winds up to 40 knots. The NAM suggests winds could peak past 50 knots during this period, but the wind direction will continue from the south, advecting warm temperatures and moisture into the region throughout the morning hours on Sunday. This coupled with the return flow from that Southeastern high will keep the sky cloudy. WAA is prevalent on GFS soundings by Sunday 12z, which will bring pre-frontal warming before the boundary passes through by Sunday 21z. PVA at the 700mb level accompanies the WAA, confirming precipitation during Sunday, and there’s a chance for this rain to become convective due to CAPE values reaching 1500 J/kg by Sunday 15z.
Future forecasters will watch for rain totals throughout the weekend and chances of thunderstorms.
-Hughley