Friday Morning Forecast 05/02/2025 10:00am CDT
Friday: Cloudy with Chance of Rain. 30% chance of rain this afternoon. High: 68°F
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, 30% Chance of rain. Low: 49°F
Saturday: Mostly Cloudy, Rain wraps up. High: 58°F
Saturday Night: Mostly Cloudy. Low: 45°F
Sunday: Partly Cloudy. High: 62°F
General Discussion:
This weekend looks to be cloudy and below average for the start of May. A cold front came through the area overnight leaving behind cloudy and cooler conditions this morning. A secondary cold front is looking to pass through overnight into tomorrow morning helping keep temperatures cool. Rain chances will be minimal but not zero. Less than a 0.25″ of rain is expected through the evening hours today. Rain will be very scattered and not everyone will see rain across Mid-Missouri.
McCluskey
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Forecasters: Stevens, McCluskey
Date Issued: 2 May 2025 // 10:00 AM CDT
Key Messages:
- Below seasonal average temperature will remain throughout the weekend (Avg HI: 72F; L: 51F). Saturday is expected to be the coolest day with temperatures only climbing to the upper 50s.
- Rain and cloudy conditions will be present throughout the start of the weekend. Main rain chances look to be throughout the afternoon, evening hours Friday into early Saturday Morning. Rain will be very scarce and dry time will be present.
Technical Discussion:
A cold front passed through overnight which left us with colder conditions this morning. Temperatures this morning are only in the middle 50s as dense clouds blanket over the area. At 300mb a positively tilted trough is positioned with its axis through Nebraska, Northern Iowa, and the Great Lakes region. Throughout the weekend the progression of this associated low will begin to get cut off starting at 12z Saturday. The cut-off low will be positioned over Missouri before it advances towards the east and becomes nearly stationary over the Ohio River Valley. In the lower levels this trough is associated with loads of vorticity advection lobes. The stronger area of vorticity advection will be positioned over Mid-Missouri when the upper-level low is cut-off. This also shows the progression of the second front that we are anticipating. An associated cold front is expected to progress through the area late Friday into Saturday. This will be in charge of colder conditions and minimal rain chances. This cold front is expected to be weaker in nature as it advances through the area however strong enough to allow for northwesterly winds and cold air advection Saturday.
Temperatures are expected to remain below average throughout the weekend (Avg HI: 72F; L: 51F). Due to the aforementioned cold air advection and cold front, temperatures Saturday are expected to stay below 60s. When it comes to rain chances, they are not expected to be a complete washout for the weekend. The first rain chances that is expected will be Friday afternoon as the current rain showers near northwestern Missouri and northeastern Kansas advance into the area. This band of showers is expected to break apart and become very scatted throughout Mid-Missouri. Less than 0.25” is expected through the evening hours and Saturday morning. Even after this cold front passes clouds are expected to stay present through the weekend. As the weekend wraps up Sunday is anticipated to be dryer as clouds start to decrease. Future forecasters should keep an eye on the stalled upper-level low that will make way for a potential omega block pattern next week, which hints at a more active pattern.
McCluskey