Campus Weather Forecast
- Tuesday, April 8th, 2025 – Afternoon Forecast
Tuesday Night: Building Clouds, Low: 45°F
Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy. High: 70°F
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy, Low: 47°F
Thursday: Partly Cloudy, High: 68°F
Thursday Night: Partly Clear, Low: 44°F
=============================================================================
General Discussion:
Spring-like temperatures will return Wednesday and Thursday with slightly above average (66°F) highs. Cloudy conditions will prevail the next couple of days with very minimal chances for rain.
=============================================================================
Forecasters: Brucker, Latlip, McCurdy
Date Issued: April 8, 2025, 5:30 PM CDT
Technical Discussion:
Key Messages:
- Temperatures this week will be slightly above seasonal average (66°F) for highs
- Much calmer weather ahead than the previous week with very minimal chances for rain Wednesday night and Thursday.
A surface level high is currently situated to the southeast of the forecasted area and is associated with slight upper level ridging moving overhead. As the ridge continues to move eastward, our surface high will follow, encouraging our wind to quickly shift to the south. This will lead to increased WAA into the overnight hours and into Wednesday.
A jet max associated with an upper level trough currently situated over Canada will begin to move into our area Wednesday. A 500mb shortwave begins to move into our area with model guidance showing a surface low to develop over Nebraska tonight and move eastward, bringing in more moisture and greater influence of WAA. Few models are suggesting precipitation with this system as it moves just to the north. A cold front providing minimal lift moves through our area in the evening hours on Wednesday. This with 500 J/kg of CAPE at the surface could provide a small chance for small thunderstorm development along this front, but with minimal moisture and weak lift, chances remain low. Probabilistic guidance is showing a 5% chance of rainfall throughout the day with mean value precipitation totals reaching 0.01’’. Temperatures will drop into the mid-40s overnight into Thursday with clouds beginning to exit the area.
Into Thursday and Thursday night, the upper level trough deepens over the Appalachian Mountains providing a secondary cold front to enter our area. Again, a 500 mb shortwave associated with the longwave trough enters our area Thursday afternoon bringing in low chance for precipitation. Just like the last shortwave, moisture is still minimal and lifting from this secondary cold front won’t be impressive. Even though models are showing 700 J/kg of surface based CAPE for our area, any rain that would fall would be virga because of the dry low levels. Probabilistic guidance is once again showing mean value precipitation totals reaching 0.01” for Thursday. Temperatures will drop into the mid to low 40s Thursday night as that secondary cold front goes through our area, reinforcing CAA. Future forecast shifts should begin to look at a strong ridge building out west on Thursday night, potentially leading to another warm up over the weekend.
- Latlip
Tuesday Morning Forecast
Tuesday: Sunny. High: 56°F
Tuesday Night: Building Clouds, Low: 45°F
Wednesday: Cloudy. High: 70°F
Wednesday Night: Clouds clearing, Low: 47°F
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, High: 65°F
=============================================================================
General Discussion:
The weather in Columbia will be calm for most of Tuesday, with sunny skies prevailing. However, cloud cover will begin to increase late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. These clouds are expected to persist throughout the majority of the forecast period, only starting to dissipate late Thursday. This cloud cover will help to maintain relatively stable temperatures in the Columbia area.
=============================================================================
Forecasters: Beach, Malone
Date Issued: April 8, 2025, 10:00 AM Central Standard Time
Technical Discussion:
Key Messages:
- Temperatures this week will remain near the seasonal average.
- Starting Tuesday, the weather will be considerably calmer compared to recent weeks.
The stable weather pattern beginning Tuesday is largely due to Columbia’s current position beneath the remnants of an upper-level trough that passed through earlier in the week. Additionally, upper-level atmospheric activity is minimal for Tuesday. At both the 500 and 700 millibar levels, the general airflow is calm, with no significant forcing mechanisms expected for most of the day. However, late Tuesday, divergence at the 300 millibar level will begin to move into the region, providing some lift that will initiate cloud development overnight. This cloud formation will be supported by tightening bands of vorticity also pushing into the area. These clouds are likely to begin forming around 00z Wednesday and will initially be high-altitude clouds.
Moving into Wednesday, these clouds will thicken and remain for much of the forecast period. Overnight, the cloud cover will help to keep temperatures around the average. Wednesday will also see a shift in winds to a southerly direction as a deepening trough at the 300 millibar level starts to move into the region. As this trough approaches, the previously confined bands of vorticity will become broader and more intense, further contributing to the persistent cloud cover as moisture begins to increase at the 700 and 850 millibar levels. Due to this extensive cloud cover, high temperatures will remain close to the average of 67°F, staying in the high 60s to very low 70s. However, this cloud cover is not expected to last indefinitely, as moisture at the 850 millibar level will begin to decrease later on Wednesday (21z).
As the moisture decreases, cloud cover will start to dissipate heading into Thursday. This clearing will be aided by the upper-level trough positioning its center over Columbia. Additionally, winds will begin to pick up from the north, somewhat counteracting the typical daytime warming from solar radiation. Future forecasts should monitor the potential for rain later in the week as moisture is expected to build back into the area.
-Beach
- Tuesday Morning Forecast
Tuesday: Sunny. High: 56°F
Tuesday Night: Building Clouds, Low: 45°F
Wednesday: Cloudy. High: 70°F
Wednesday Night: Clouds clearing, Low: 47°F
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, High: 65°F
=============================================================================
General Discussion:
The weather in Columbia will be calm for most of Tuesday, with sunny skies prevailing. However, cloud cover will begin to increase late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. These clouds are expected to persist throughout the majority of the forecast period, only starting to dissipate late Thursday. This cloud cover will help to maintain relatively stable temperatures in the Columbia area.
=============================================================================
Forecasters: Beach, Malone
Date Issued: April 8, 2025, 10:00 AM Central Standard Time
Technical Discussion:
Key Messages:
- Temperatures this week will remain near the seasonal average.
- Starting Tuesday, the weather will be considerably calmer compared to recent weeks.
The stable weather pattern beginning Tuesday is largely due to Columbia’s current position beneath the remnants of an upper-level trough that passed through earlier in the week. Additionally, upper-level atmospheric activity is minimal for Tuesday. At both the 500 and 700 millibar levels, the general airflow is calm, with no significant forcing mechanisms expected for most of the day. However, late Tuesday, divergence at the 300 millibar level will begin to move into the region, providing some lift that will initiate cloud development overnight. This cloud formation will be supported by tightening bands of vorticity also pushing into the area. These clouds are likely to begin forming around 00z Wednesday and will initially be high-altitude clouds.
Moving into Wednesday, these clouds will thicken and remain for much of the forecast period. Overnight, the cloud cover will help to keep temperatures around the average. Wednesday will also see a shift in winds to a southerly direction as a deepening trough at the 300 millibar level starts to move into the region. As this trough approaches, the previously confined bands of vorticity will become broader and more intense, further contributing to the persistent cloud cover as moisture begins to increase at the 700 and 850 millibar levels. Due to this extensive cloud cover, high temperatures will remain close to the average of 67°F, staying in the high 60s to very low 70s. However, this cloud cover is not expected to last indefinitely, as moisture at the 850 millibar level will begin to decrease later on Wednesday (21z).
As the moisture decreases, cloud cover will start to dissipate heading into Thursday. This clearing will be aided by the upper-level trough positioning its center over Columbia. Additionally, winds will begin to pick up from the north, somewhat counteracting the typical daytime warming from solar radiation. Future forecasts should monitor the potential for rain later in the week as moisture is expected to build back into the area.
-Beach